Sunday, September 24, 2006

Dispatch Poll Indicates Huge Democrat Win in Ohio

Today's Columbus Dispatch gives the result of a poll suggesting that "a near-sweep of statewide races appears within the grasp of Ohio Democrats." The poll was based on returns from 1,791 registered voters who say they intended to vote in the November 7.

The poll is broken down extensively according political affiliation, voting record in recent elections, age, education, gender, race, religion, union membership, annual income and region. The Dispatch estimates a magin of error of +/- 2.2 percent in 95 out of 100 cases. "This means that if a poll is conducted 100 times, in 95 cases the result will not vary by more than 2.2 percentage points from the result that would be obtained if all registered voters in Ohio were polled and responded. Error margins are greater for poll subsamples."

Here are the basics:

Governor's Race

Kenneth Blackwell, Rep. - 33 percent
Ted Strickland, Dem. - 52 percent
Others - 1 percent
Undecided - 13 percent

U.S Senate Race

Sherrod Brown, Dem. - 47 percent
Mike DeWine, Rep. - 42 percent
Undecided - 11 percent

Attorney General

Marc Dann, Dem. - 39 percent
Betty Montgomery, Rep. - 47 percent
Undecided - 14 percent

Secretary of State

Jennifer Brunner, Dem. - 36 percent
Greg Hartmann, Rep. - 28 percent
Other Candidates - 4 percent
Undecided - 22 percent

Auditor

Barbara Sykes, Dem. - 44 percent
Mary Taylor, Rep. - 32 percent
Undecided - 24 percent

Treasurer

Richard Cordray, Dem. - 45 percent
Sandra O'Brien, Rep. - 34 percent
Undecided - 21 percent

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